Italy vs Turkey Prediction. Italy will host Turkey on Monday 5 October in the Europe - UEFA Nations League. Italy are in advantage over Turkey with a better win rate of 79.13% (Italy) against 46.64% (Turkey). Read on for all of our football predictions and betting tips from our Experts for this game. Live football stream link is also available.

Italy vs Turkey Prediction

Italy

Monday 5 October

18:45

Europe - UEFA Nations League

Turkey

Home

1.448

Draw

4.98

Away

6.15

See more Markets 📺 Link

Match Preview

Italy vs Turkey headlines the Europe – UEFA Nations League 2026/27 calendar on Monday, 5 October 2026 at Bologna’s Renato Dall’Ara Stadium, with Roberto Mancini’s Azzurri chasing a home response after holding France to a 1-1 draw in Saint-Denis and Vincenzo Montella’s Turkey arriving bruised by a 3-0 loss in Belgium.

The recent form line points to Italian control: Mancini’s side already beat Turkey 4-1 in Bursa, while Turkey’s League A debut also brought a narrow 0-1 defeat to France, leaving the Crescent-Stars needing defensive discipline and a faster transition through Arda Güler.

For the 2026/2027 season squad picture, Italy’s projected frame is Donnarumma; Di Lorenzo, Mancini, Coppola, Calafiori; Barella, Frattesi, Tonali; Kean, Esposito, Cambiaghi, with Bastoni suspended and Dimarco unavailable, while Turkey’s expected setup is Bayindir; Celik, Bardakci, Demiral; Elmai, Ozcan, Yuksek, Kadioglu; Guler, Uzun; Yilmaz.

Using European odds, the market makes Italy a clear home favourite at about 1.43, with the draw near 4.20 and Turkey around 6.20, but the value angle is goals: Italy’s midfield volume, Turkey’s desperation to chase the game, and the Azzurri’s scoring burst in the reverse fixture support our prediction of Italy 3 : 1 Tur

Tip Reasoning

Turkey have found the going extremely tough on their top-flight travels of late, with the strugglers suffering ten consecutive defeats as part of a run that has seen them secure just one point from a possible 36. Italy, by way of contrast, have won ten and drawn four of their previous 13 home games at the top table of the UEFA Nations League, so this looks to be a mismatch.

Recommended Betting Tips for Italy vs Turkey

Tip 1

Match Prediction

Italy Win

Best Odds

1.88

Chance

60%

1.47

1.88

1.47

Tip 2

Match Prediction

Italy Win or Draw

Best Odds

1.13

Chance

90%

1.13

1.21

1.13

Tip 3

Match Prediction

Over 2.5 Goals

Best Odds

1.46

Chance

83%

1.46

1.8

1.46

Tip 4

Match Prediction

Both teams to score

Best Odds

1.68

Chance

84%

1.63

1.68

1.63

Prediction

Italy vs Turkey Prediction

Italy 3 : 1 Turkey

What’s your prediction?

Italy Win

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Draw

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Turkey Win

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Italy vs Turkey Stats

Head to Head	Home Team	Away Team
Name	Italy	Turkey
Clean Sheet	60%	20%
Failed to Score	10%	40%
Goals Conceded	0.8	1.6
Goals Scored	2	1.3
WIN Rate	79.13%	46.64%
Last 5 Games	L W L W W	L L W W D

⚽ Goals Overview

Goals Scored Who will score more?

Italy is 53.85% better in terms of Goals Scored

2 Goals / Match

Italy at Home

1.3 Goals / Match

Turkey at Away

Goals Conceded Who will concede more?

Italy is 100.00% better in terms of Goals Conceded

0.8 Conceded / Match

Italy at Home

1.6 Conceded / Match

Turkey at Away

Italy vs Turkey Timeline

Italy Results

France 1:1 Italy

Turkey 1:4 Italy

Italy 0:2 Belgium

Greece 0:1 Italy

Luxembourg 0:1 Italy

Italy 2:0 Northern Ireland

Italy 1:4 Norway

Moldova 0:2 Italy

Italy 3:0 Israel

Estonia 1:3 Italy

Israel 4:5 Italy

Italy 5:0 Estonia

Italy 2:0 Moldova

Norway 3:0 Italy

Germany 3:3 Italy

Italy 1:2 Germany

Italy 1:3 France

Belgium 0:1 Italy

Italy 4:1 Israel

Turkey Results

Belgium 3:0 Turkey

Turkey 1:4 Italy

Turkey 0:1 France

Turkey 3:2 USA

Turkey 0:1 Paraguay

Australia 2:0 Turkey

Venezuela 1:2 Turkey

Turkey 4:0 North Macedonia

Kosovo 0:1 Turkey

Turkey 1:0 Romania

Spain 2:2 Turkey

Turkey 2:0 Bulgaria

Turkey 4:1 Georgia

Bulgaria 1:6 Turkey

Turkey 0:6 Spain

Georgia 2:3 Turkey

Mexico 1:0 Turkey

USA 1:2 Turkey

Hungary 0:3 Turkey

Turkey 3:1 Hungary

Overview

Italy Turkey Prediction

Italy v Turkey Prediction & Tips (and online live stream*) starts on Monday 5 October in the Europe - UEFA Nations League. Here on Feedinco, we will cover all types of match predictions, stats and all match previews for all Europe - UEFA Nations League matches. You can find all statistics, last 5 games stats and Comparison for both teams Italy and Turkey .

Feedinco Suggestion

From all statistics and latest matches and timeline data, our professional advice and experts suggest to bet on a Italy Win which have odds of 1.47. We also suggest the best bookmaker which is 1xBet which have better odds on this type of bet.

Italy has 60% to win against Turkey

There is a 83% chance of this match having O2.5 goals

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Steve
Updated: 2026-09-30
A football specialist who writes match previews, tactical analysis and betting guides. Combining close attention to team news, form and head‑to‑head trends with a data‑driven approach to odds, they explain the reasoning behind each pick — from predicted lineups and tactical battles to where the real betting value lies. Regularly contributes previews and betting roundups for readers who want clear, actionable insight. Follow on medium

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