Spalding United vs Bury Town Prediction & Betting Tips (6 October)

Spalding United host Bury Town in a highly anticipated FA Cup fourth qualifying round replay on 6 October 2026 at the Sir Halley Stewart Field, after the first meeting at Ram Meadow ended in a hard-fought 1-1 draw. The Tulips know exactly what it takes to beat Bury, having won both Southern League Premier Central fixtures against the Blues last season on their way to promotion, and Graham Drury's side will fancy their chances of sealing a place in the FA Cup first round proper on home soil.

Spalding's 2026/27 squad has carried its momentum up a division, boasting one of the meanest defensive records in their league with under 0.75 goals conceded per game this campaign, while Bury Town arrive battle-tested after a seven-goal thriller in the previous qualifying round, edging Gorleston in a 3-4 away classic in which Joe Marsden and Luke Johnson both found the net. The Blues' defensive options are stretched, however, with defender T. Olopade sidelined through injury, and boss Ben Chenery must decide whether his attacking 2026/27 squad can compensate for a back line that has leaked goals in recent cup ties.

Team news for the replay sees Spalding United close to full strength, with their settled 2026/27 squad — built around the experienced spine that earned promotion last term — expected to line up in a familiar 3-5-2 that has made the Sir Halley Stewart Field a difficult venue for visitors. Bury Town will once again lean on the firepower of Marsden and Luke Johnson, who have shouldered the goalscoring load in the early weeks of the season, but their inability to close out the original tie after taking the lead at Ram Meadow will be a concern heading into the return fixture.

On the European odds market, Spalding United are clear favourites for the replay at around 1.90, with the draw priced near 3.60 and an away win for Bury Town available at approximately 4.00 — prices that reflect both Spalding's defensive solidity and their dominance in this fixture, as we analysed ahead of the 1-1 first-leg stalemate. Everything points to the Tulips finally turning territorial control into goals against a Bury side missing key defensive personnel, so our prediction for the replay is a comfortable 3 : 0 home win for Spalding Uni