Plymouth vs AFC Wimbledon Prediction & Betting Tips (10 October)

Plymouth Argyle host AFC Wimbledon at Home Park on Saturday 10 October 2026 in a Sky Bet League One clash brought forward to a 12:30 BST kick-off for live television broadcast. The stakes could hardly be higher for the hosts: Tom Cleverley's side sit top of the League One table following a third consecutive away win last weekend, while the Dons arrive in ninth place on 12 points from eight games after their home fixture against Stevenage was postponed due to international call-ups. Argyle will be looking to bounce back from a rare home setback, having seen their unbeaten Home Park run ended by Burton Albion in late September.

Plymouth's 2026/27 squad has been reshaped by a busy summer window that brought in Murphy Cooper, Wes Harding, Alex Hartridge, Harvey White, Alex Mitchell and club-record signing Will Evans from Mansfield Town, plus loan duo Tyreeq Bakinson and Tottenham Hotspur winger Oliver Irow. The attacking burden has been carried by Bim Pepple, who has five league goals already, with Irow chipping in four and Evans netting his third of the campaign in the 0-2 victory at Leyton Orient that sent the Pilgrims to the summit. However, Cleverley remains without the injured Julio Pleguezuelo, Michael Baidoo, Malachi Boateng, Alex Hartridge and Owen Oseni, and he will demand a response after the frustrating 0-1 home defeat to Burton last time out at Home Park.

AFC Wimbledon, managed by Johnnie Jackson, have quietly assembled one of the division's most intriguing squads for 2026/27, adding Chelsea loanees Ollie Harrison and Dujuan Richards, Brighton defender Freddie Simmonds, goalkeeper Josef Bursik and Nottingham Forest forward Donnell McNeilly to a core led by four-goal top scorer Jayden Stockley and the creative Myles Hippolyte. The Dons have been solid if unspectacular, grinding out a 1-1 draw at Cambridge United last time out and beating Bromley 0-2 earlier in September, though they have managed just six league goals all season. History offers them little comfort either: Plymouth won the most recent meeting between the sides 3-1 at Plough Lane in April, and Wimbledon's away record against top-half opposition remains a concern heading to Devon.

In the European odds markets, Plymouth are clear favourites at around 1.72 for the home win, with the draw priced at 3.80 and an AFC Wimbledon victory at 4.60 — figures that reflect Argyle's home strength, despite that Burton defeat, and the Dons' struggles in front of goal. With Pepple and Irow in red-hot form against a Wimbledon back line that concedes more than it creates, the value clearly lies with the hosts, and we expect Plymouth to control possession and territory from the first whistle. Our prediction is a convincing Plymouth Argyle 3-1 win, with Argyle's firepower proving too much for a spirited but outgunned Wimbledon s