Augsburg vs Bayern Munich Prediction & Betting Tips (10 October)

FC Augsburg host Bundesliga champions Bayern Munich at the WWK Arena on Saturday, 10 October 2026, in a Bavarian derby that arrives with far more intrigue than usual this season. Manuel Baum's Augsburg have made an impressive start to the 2026/27 campaign, sitting fourth with seven points, and they remain a stubborn force at home, having lost just once in their last 14 Bundesliga matches at the WWK Arena. Their momentum was slightly checked before the international break, however, as they surrendered a 2-0 lead to lose 3-2 at Werder Bremen in their last outing, a collapse you can revisit in our 3-2 match report, following a frustrating 2-2 home draw with Bayer Leverkusen in which Patrik Schick's late backheel denied them victory, as detailed in our 2-2 prediction page.

Bayern Munich, meanwhile, return from the international break second in the table with ten points from four matches, having scored 14 goals while conceding just twice under Vincent Kompany. The Rekordmeister were in devastating form before the break, thrashing Union Berlin 7-0 at the Allianz Arena, where Michael Olise claimed a hat-trick and Harry Kane reached 101 Bundesliga goals in record time — the full story is in our 7-0 coverage. That rout followed a hard-earned 1-2 win at SV Elversberg, where Kane struck the winner, though Kompany's side were previously held 0-0 at Schalke, meaning their away scoring output this term remains a work in progress despite a 28-match unbeaten Bundesliga run on the road.

For the 2026/27 season, Augsburg are expected to line up in a 3-4-2-1 with Finn Dahmen in goal; Jeffrey Gouweleeuw, Chrislain Matsima and Yannik Keitel in defence; Marius Wolf, Han-Noah Massengo, Fabian Rieder and Hennes Behrens across midfield; Robin Fellhauer and Mert Kömür supporting striker Michael Gregoritsch, the club's top scorer. Baum remains without Noahkai Banks, Anton Kade, Faik Sakar, Sima Suso, Tim Breithaupt and Steve Mounié through injury. Bayern should field Manuel Neuer behind Josip Stanišić, Dayot Upamecano, Jonathan Tah and Alphonso Davies, with Joshua Kimmich and Aleksandar Pavlović in the double pivot and Michael Olise, Tom Bischof and Luis Díaz supplying Harry Kane, although Jamal Musiala is ruled out with injury.

Notably, Augsburg are the only team to have beaten Bayern in their last 47 Bundesliga matches, and the hosts will fancy causing another upset in front of their own fans. However, Bayern's firepower and defensive solidity make them overwhelming favourites in the European odds, with an away win priced around 1.21, the draw near 5.75, and an Augsburg victory as high as 8.94. Fabian Rieder has contributed a goal or assist in every matchday so far this season and offers Augsburg genuine hope, but against an in-form Kane and an Olise in the form of his life, we expect the champions to prevail. Our prediction: Augsburg 1-4 Bayern Mun