Tarancon vs Levante Prediction & Betting Tips (12 November)

CD Tarancón host Levante UD in a Copa del Rey first-round tie on Thursday 12 November 2026 at the Polideportivo Estadio Municipal Tarancón, a fixture originally scheduled for 5 November before being postponed and rearranged for this week. The occasion is historic for the hosts: it is Tarancón's first appearance in the Copa del Rey since 1983, when, as Agrupación Deportiva Tarancón, they eliminated Cacereño before facing Atlético de Madrid. Coached by Jorge Cañete, Tarancón come from the Tercera Federación, three divisions below their visitors, having drawn 1-1 at home to Villarrubia in league action, and Cañete has called on the local supporters to turn the evening into what he described as possibly the most beautiful day in the club's history, insisting that cup upsets are always possible. Levante, meanwhile, arrive under Luís Castro, who took over in December 2025 and makes his Copa del Rey debut in this tie, with the Granotas sitting 14th in La Liga on 10 points after a patchy start that has included heavy defeats and one famous home upset.

Levante's recent form shows a side struggling for consistency but capable of flashes of quality, most notably the 3-1 home win over Athletic Club on 21 October, when Roger Brugué struck twice before the break and Karl Etta Eyong sealed it deep in stoppage time after Aymeric Laporte's red card. That high was followed by a 2-1 defeat at Real Sociedad on 25 October and a 0-2 home loss to Atlético Madrid on 31 October, where Alejandro Grimaldo and Giuliano Simeone scored either side of half-time and Levante managed just four shots on target. Castro's 2026/27 squad blends experience and youth: Mathew Ryan and Pablo Campos in goal; Aïssa Mandi, Jorge Cabello (on loan from Celta Vigo), Axel Tape, Adrián Dela (on loan from Liverpool), Ifeanyi Ndukwe (signed free from Lille), Jeremy Toljan, Manu Sánchez and Marc Santos in defence; Oriol Rey, Hugo Sotelo, Jon Ander Olasagasti, Dani Requena and Enzo Bardeli in midfield; with Thiago Fernández, Brugué, Paco Cortés, Víctor García (on loan from Lazio), Petar Ratkov, Etta Eyong, Iván Romero and Yanis Musuayi providing the attacking threat. Bardeli, Dela and Manu Sánchez are injured, and the original plan of heavy rotation with six B-team call-ups (Luismi Pérez, Rosón, Aitor, Calatrava, Nakoha and Usedo) may be revisited now that the tie has been rescheduled.

The gulf in class could hardly be starker. Tarancón's expected eleven of Pery, José Ángel, Clovis, Iván Cabellud, Paulinho, Sima, Madalin, Gasco, Pedro, Kiko Pomares and Airam is built around part-time footballers who will be living a once-in-a-generation occasion in front of a packed Municipal, where gates open well before kick-off and local authorities have closed nearby streets in anticipation of a full house. Levante, even with rotation, field professionals with La Liga and European pedigree, and the market reflects that reality: the European odds price a Levante win at around 1.12, the draw at roughly 8.50, and a Tarancón miracle at 19.00 or higher. Alternative markets follow the same logic, with Levante on a -2.5 Asian handicap near 1.75, a win to nil around 1.65, and Over 2.5 goals close to 1.40 — all pointing toward a controlled, professional away performance.

Our prediction is a 0:3 Levante victory. Even if Castro rotates heavily to protect his La Liga regulars, the visitors' reserve and B-team players will be facing semi-professional opposition, and Levante's technical superiority in possession, set pieces and transitional play should tell over 90 minutes. Expect Tarancón to defend deep and lean on the energy of the crowd in the early stages, but once the first goal arrives — we fancy Etta Eyong or Iván Romero to open the scoring before half-time — the floodgates should open, with the correct score of 0-3 priced around 8.50 and each way value on Levante scoring three or more at 2.10. Tarancón's dream is the story of the night, but Levante's class should write the ending: a 0:3 away win sends the Granotas into the next round and keeps Castro's first Copa del Rey campaign al