Cajamarca vs Los Chankas Prediction & Betting Tips (16 November)

Peru Liga 1 Clausura action returns to the altitude of Cajamarca on Friday 13 November 2026, when Universidad Técnica de Cajamarca (UTC) host Los Chankas CYC at the Estadio Héroes de San Ramón (18:00 UTC). This is a meeting between two sides locked in the lower half of the Clausura table — UTC have spent the campaign battling to stay clear of the relegation zone, while Los Chankas, a club that made history in 2026 as the first Peruvian side to register the maximum seven foreign players, have faded after a promising start and sit mid-table with nothing left to play for but pride. The hosts at least bring momentum of sorts into this one: a 3-1 win away to FC Cajamarca on 28 October showed what Carlos Bustos's rebuilt squad is capable of, and back at 2,750 metres above sea level, where they have won both previous home meetings with Los Chankas by 2-0 margins, UTC will fancy their chances of closing the gap on the teams above them. The visitors, meanwhile, have gone four league matches without a win and have scored just two goals in that run — a worrying trend they must correct quickly in one of Peru's most hostile away environments.

UTC's 2026/27 squad is a heavily refreshed group built around captain and goalkeeper Ángelo Campos, with Ignacio Barrios and Ricardo Bettochi as cover between the posts. The defence features Bruno Duarte, Manuel Ganoza, Junior Huerto, Francesco Cavagna, Dylan Caro and Gilmar Paredes, while the midfield is marshalled by veteran Marcos Lliuya and David Dioses — signed from Los Chankas in a neat subplot to this fixture — alongside Joshua Cantt, Arquímedes Figuera and Ecuadorian Luis Arce. Up front, the goals are shared between Marlon de Jesús, Panamanian international Abdiel Arroyo, Adolfo Muñoz, David Camacho, Michel Rasmussen and the young Jhosep Núñez. Recent results underline their inconsistency: a painful 1-2 home defeat to Juan Pablo II back in September summed up their soft underbelly, and a 3-1 loss at Atlético Grau in July exposed their travel sickness — though their last five read more competitively: a goalless draw at Sport Boys, a narrow 2-3 home loss to Deportivo Garcilaso, that 3-1 win at FC Cajamarca, and single-goal defeats to Melgar (1-2) and Cienciano (0-1). At home, they remain a different proposition entirely.

Los Chankas make the long trip north with a 2026/27 squad that leans on its foreign contingent: goalkeepers Hairo Camacho, Jorge Pretel and Brayan Vílchez; a defence led by Uruguayan pair Gonzalo Rizzo and Carlos Pimienta plus Héctor González, Ayrthon Quintana, Kelvin Sánchez and Michael Kaufman; a midfield featuring Panamanian Abdiel Ayarza, Christian Velarde and Jorge Palomino, with captain Oshiro Takeuchi still working his way back from injury; and an attack where Argentine Franco Torres (six league goals) is the reference point, supported by Colombian duo Jarlín Quintero — a former UTC favourite — and Juan Ospina, plus veteran Janio Pósito. Their away form, however, is a genuine concern: after a battling 2-1 home win over AD Tarma on 16 October — a comeback victory that ended their scoring drought — they have collected just one point from three road games, including a 0-0 grind at Atlético Grau with ten men and a 1-4 collapse at Deportivo Garcilaso, before a 0-1 home loss to Cusco and a creditable 1-1 draw against champions Alianza Lima last time out. Juan Carlos Bazalar's men are organised but toothless, averaging barely a goal per game away from Andahuaylas.

Head-to-head history favours the hosts: across five Liga 1 meetings since 2024 UTC have won two, Los Chankas one, with two draws, and the Cajamarca side has kept clean sheets in both home fixtures — 2-0 in April 2024 and 2-0 in September 2025 — before Los Chankas turned the tables with a 2-1 win in Andahuaylas in September of this year. The market reflects how tight this should be: European odds price a UTC win at around 2.55, the draw at 3.10 and an away win at 2.90, with simulation models giving the hosts a 41-46% win probability and the most likely scorelines clustered around 1-1 and 2-1. We side with the altitude factor and UTC's superior head-to-head record at the Héroes de San Ramón: the value pick is the home win at 2.55, with both teams to score at 1.80 (Los Chankas have scored in four of their last five, while UTC have conceded in four of their last five), over 2.5 goals at 1.95, and the correct score 2:1 for UTC at approximately 9.00. Expect a tight first half before the thin air tells in the final half hour, with Marlon de Jesús or Abdiel Arroyo decisive for the hosts and Franco Torres most likely to reply for the visit