Greece vs Serbia Prediction & Betting Tips (16 November)

Greece vs Serbia closes the 2026/27 UEFA Nations League League A Group 2 league phase on Monday 16 November 2026 at Panthessaliko Stadium, with both teams also involved on Friday 13 November as Greece visit Netherlands and Serbia host Germany. The latest table leaves Greece unbeaten on eight points from four matches, level with Netherlands and two points clear of Germany, while Serbia are bottom with zero points after four defeats. The reverse fixture in Belgrade already went Greece’s way 2-1, as Andrija Zivkovic gave Serbia a fourth-minute lead before Christos Tzolis equalised and Tasos Douvikas struck a stoppage-time winner, so Ivan Jovanovic’s team arrive with the psychological edge as well as the cleaner defensive record.

Greece’s Nations League form has been built on control rather than chaos: after the Belgrade comeback, they banked an away win over Germany, then finished October by drawing 2-2 with Netherlands and 0-0 with Germany. That run matters because Serbia’s biggest problem in this group has not been creativity but the inability to protect leads and stop second-phase attacks. Greece’s 2026/2027 pool is deep enough to rotate without losing structure, with Odysseas Vlachodimos, Konstantinos Tzolakis and Christos Mandas in goal; Konstantinos Mavropanos, Konstantinos Koulierakis, Panagiotis Retsos, Kostas Tsimikas and Manolis Saliakas across the back; Dimitris Kourbelis, Christos Zafeiris, Christos Mouzakitis, Konstantinos Karetsas and Dimitris Pelkas in midfield; and Christos Tzolis, Georgios Masouras, Vangelis Pavlidis, Fotis Ioannidis, Anastasios Douvikas and Charalampos Kostoulas competing for the forward spots.

Serbia’s November squad named by Veljko Paunovic for the Germany and Greece games is stronger on paper than their results suggest, with Vanja Milinkovic-Savic, Djordje Petrovic, Filip Stankovic and Dragan Rosic as goalkeepers; Strahinja Pavlovic, Nikola Milenkovic, Strahinja Erakovic, Srdjan Babic, Nikola Simic, Kosta Nedeljkovic, Aleksa Terzic and Petar Sukacev in defence; Aleksandar Stankovic, Nemanja Maksimovic, Sasa Lukic, Filip Kostic, Sergej Milinkovic-Savic, Andrija Zivkovic, Lazar Samardzic and Dusan Tadic in midfield; plus Aleksandar Mitrovic, Dusan Vlahovic, Luka Jovic and Mihajlo Cvetkovic in attack. Yet the on-picture remains troubling: Serbia have lost every League A match so far, including a 2-1 defeat away to Netherlands and a 2-0 loss away to Germany, conceding eight goals in four games and failing to turn spells of possession into points.

With European odds pricing Greece as the clear home favourite at around 1.40, the draw near 4.90 and Serbia close to 8.00, the market is firmly backing Greece’s unbeaten defence and Serbia’s fragile game state. Our prediction is Greece 3-1 Serbia: Greece should have enough territorial control and wide quality through Tzolis and Masouras to create repeated chances, while Pavlidis, Ioannidis and Douvikas offer different penalty-box routes against a Serbian back line that has conceded too many transition opportunities. Serbia’s attacking names can punish any complacency, especially if Tadic, Zivkovic, Vlahovic or Mitrovic combine early, but the safer betting angle is Greece to win with goals at both ends, and the correct-score call is