Alcoyano vs Mallorca Prediction & Betting Tips (18 November)

CD Alcoyano and RCD Mallorca finally get their Copa del Rey tie played on Wednesday 18 November 2026, when the Estadio El Collao hosts the Bermellones with kick-off set for 20:00 CET and À Punt televising the match across the Valencian Community. It has been a long road to this cup night for the Deportivistas: the fixture was originally pencilled in for late October, only to be postponed as the RFEF mourned the victims of the Toledo train accident, and after being rearranged for early November the tie was pushed back once more to its new midweek slot in Alcoy. That wait has only sharpened the appetite in the city, because El Collao, with its tight 4,850-capacity bowl tucked into the mountains of the Alicante hinterland, remains one of the most awkward cup venues in Spain for visiting professionals. History is not on the home side's side, it must be said — Mallorca have won both of the sides' previous competitive meetings and have never left Alcoy empty-handed — but cup football at this ground has a habit of flattening hierarchies. The islanders arrive as the heavyweight by reputation alone: relegated from La Liga last season after finishing 18th, they are now a Segunda División outfit rebuilt under Luis García Fernández, who was appointed on 22 June 2026 on a contract running to June 2027 with an option for a further year after Martín Demichelis departed for RB Leipzig. García, who guided Las Palmas through the second tier last term, has made Mallorca Spain's stingiest defence outside the top flight — just seven goals conceded in twelve league matches — and that defensive backbone, captained by Antonio Raíllo, is exactly what cup-tie football at El Collao demands.

For Alcoyano, this is the kind of evening the entire 2026/27 project has been pointing towards. The Deportivistas sit seventh in Segunda Federación Group III after ten rounds, collecting 14 points from four wins, two draws and four defeats with a 12:14 goal record, and they come into the cup off the back of a mixed run: a 1-1 home draw with Cieza, a chastening 3-0 defeat at Castellón B, back-to-back 2-0 home wins over Poblense and Deportiva Minera, a creditable 1-0 win at Mallorca B in early October that gave them a close-up look at the opposition's reserve pipeline, and a narrow 1-2 home defeat to Elche Ilicitano last time out. There are no reported unavailable players in the home camp ahead of this tie, and the squad built for the fourth tier gives their coach a full deck to pick from. Between the posts, Unai Marino and Marcos Leganés are joined by Abel Gambín and summer arrival Francisco Dorronsoro; the defensive line features José Solbes, Raúl González, Adolfo Romero, Pablo Carbonell, Fran Moreno, Javi Soler, Izan Llinares and Álex Alonso; the engine room is stocked with Adrián Lledó, Alejandro Morales, Víctor Sala, Georgian midfielder Lado Mokhevishvili, Jorge García, Rafael Gómez, Omar Monterde and Roberto Batres; and the attacking burden is shared by Steven Prieto, Joan Piera, Diego de Pedro, Sergio Chinchilla, Kalilou Camara, Tiko Iniesta, Rubén Carretero and Guille Andrés, supplemented by close-season additions Yosmel Zayas, a right winger signed from Sporting Atlético, Toni Penyafort, a centre-forward poached from Poblense, and promising under-23 forward Alejandro Sánchez Amador. Expect a compact, aggressive 4-4-2, second balls contested in the middle third, and a loud crowd making the evening as uncomfortable as possible.

Mallorca's 2026/27 squad blends relegated-core experience with shrewd loan market work: Arnau Tenas is the first-choice goalkeeper behind a defence of Martin Valjent, captain Antonio Raíllo, Alberto Moreno, Toni Lato, David López, Aboubaka Soumahoro and John Chetauya; Sergi Darder and Pablo Torre pull the strings in midfield alongside Álex Sala — the team's creative hub with six big chances created and a team-high 1.2 shots on target per match — Manu Morlanes, Antonio Sánchez, Guille Fernández, Arnau Puigmal and Jan Salas; and the goals come from Adrián Fuentes, the division's most prolific Bermellón with seven league strikes, supported by Zito Luvumbo, Adrián Liso, Abdón Prats, Adam Buksa, Daniel Luna, Josep Cerdà, Justin Kalumba and Antoniu Roca. García will be without Roca, Morlanes and Salas through injury, but the visitors' recent form underlines their resilience: they followed a 3-1 home win over Las Palmas and a 0-0 stalemate at Girona with a draw at Ipurua against Eibar that finished 1-1, a similar share of the spoils at Butarque against Leganés that ended 1-1, and a hard-earned home victory over Cádiz that finished 2-1. That is five league games unbeaten with just one defeat all season, built not on fireworks but on control: García's 4-4-2, last seen in the Cádiz win with Tenas behind Antonio Sánchez, Valjent, Raíllo and Alberto Moreno, and Luvumbo, Sala, Darder and Liso supplying Fuentes and Pablo Torre, squeezes games into low-scoring contests — exactly the profile of a side that knows how to manage a cup tie away from home.

The market reflects the gulf in resources without quite ruling out a famous cup night: European decimal odds price an Alcoyano win at 6.30, the draw at 4.40 and a Mallorca victory at 1.50, with the Bermellones given roughly a 78 percent chance of advancing when extra time and penalties are factored in. Yet the raw 1X2 numbers overstate the likelihood of a fluent away win. Mallorca's away fixtures this autumn have been attritional — 0-0 at Girona, 1-1 at Eibar, 1-1 at Leganés — with García content to trade possession for structure, while Alcoyano's home defeats have come against divisional peers who press and probe for ninety minutes, not against deep, patient second-tier blocks. The Deportivistas will commit numbers forward in waves, but against Valjent and Raíllo they are unlikely to carve out clean looks, and Mallorca's own attacking flow is blunted by the absences of Morlanes and Roca plus the inevitable rotation that follows a congested league schedule. All of that points to a stalemate built on discipline rather than fear: Alcoyano matching Mallorca's intensity in midfield, both defences winning their duels, and two well-drilled 4-4-2 systems cancelling each other out under the El Collao lights. Our prediction is therefore a 0-0 draw after ninety minutes — a result available at 8.50 in the correct-score market, with Under 2.5 goals at 1.75, Both Teams to Score — No at 1.80 and a half-time draw at 2.10 all supporting the same cautious script. If the night ends goalless, the lottery of extra time and penalties would decide who advances — and on recent evidence, that is precisely the kind of knife-edge cup drama this fixture has been building towards since Octo