Girona vs Barcelona Prediction & Betting Tips (16 February)

The Catalan derby between Girona and Barcelona at Estadi Municipal de Montilivi in mid-February comes with both sides arriving in contrasting moods but with plenty at stake in LaLiga. Girona have slipped into mid‑table after a tricky spell, including a goalless draw away to Sevilla and a narrow defeat at Real Oviedo. Michel’s team have also shared the points with Getafe, while earlier winter wins over Espanyol, Osasuna and Mallorca reminded everyone that Girona can still grind out results. Recent talk around the club has focused on turning those tight games back into victories to avoid being dragged toward the bottom half.

Barcelona, meanwhile, travel up the road in excellent form and with the title race very much in their hands after a powerful run of results across all competitions. Xavi’s men recently brushed aside Mallorca at home and edged a stubborn Albacete away, adding to convincing league wins at Elche and a dominant European performance against FC København. Off the pitch, the main headlines over the past couple of months have centred on managing a long injury list, with key figures like Gavi, ter Stegen, Pedri and Raphinha all working through various setbacks while the squad’s depth continues to carry the load.

Team news adds another layer of intrigue to this derby. Girona are still without long‑term absentees such as Portu and Artero, while knocks to players like Moreno and Ounahi have forced Michel to rotate more than he would like, affecting fluency in the final third. Barcelona also have defensive concerns, with Christensen and others dealing with fitness issues, yet their attacking structure has remained fluid and ruthless. Recent head‑to‑head meetings have produced goals and drama, from Girona’s memorable home win in 2024 to Barcelona’s more routine victories at the Olympic Stadium, underlining how fine the margins can be when these neighbours collide.

All of this recent context points toward a fascinating ninety minutes, but one where Barcelona’s superior depth and current momentum give them the clearer edge despite Girona’s home advantage and tactical discipline. Girona’s struggle to convert half‑chances, combined with Barcelona’s habit of striking early and then punishing teams on the counter, suggests a scoreline with goals at both ends. With the visitors chasing every point in the title race and Girona eager to restore belief after a mixed winter, our prediction settles on a 1 : 3 correct score in favour of the reigning Catalan gia