Tunisia vs Uganda Prediction & Betting Tips (24 September)

Tunisia host Uganda on Thursday 24 September 2026 at Stade Olympique Hammadi Agrebi in an Africa Cup of Nations qualifying Group H match, with the Carthage Eagles aiming to reset after a winless World Cup group stage that included 1-3 and 0-4 defeats plus a heavy loss to Sweden. Tunisia’s 2026/2027 squad core is expected to feature Aymen Dahmen or Mouhib Chamakh in goal, Dylan Bronn, Montassar Talbi, Omar Rekik, Ali Abdi and Yan Valery in defence, Ellyes Skhiri, Hannibal Mejbri and Anis Ben Slimane in midfield, and Elias Achouri, Elias Saad, Sebastian Tounekti and Firas Chaouat competing for attacking minutes.

Uganda arrive with a resilient but less settled 2026/2027 group built around Denis Onyango, Aziz Kayondo, Jordan Obita, Toby Sibbick, Kenneth Ssemakula, Baba Alhassan, Bobosi Byaruhanga, Travis Mutyaba, Allan Okello, Rogers Mato, Denis Omedi and Uche Ikpeazu, knowing their AFCON campaign earlier ended with a 1-3 loss to Nigeria after a 1-1 draw with Tanzania. The Cranes’ route to a result is clear: stay compact, protect the central lanes, and turn set pieces or counters into one high-value chance rather than chasing possession against a technically stronger Tunisian midfield.

The head-to-head context favours Tunisia, who won the most recent meeting 3-1 in Rabat and should again dominate territory if Skhiri controls the tempo and Mejbri plays between the lines. Uganda’s best hope is to make the match physical, slow Tunisia’s full-backs, and test whether the hosts can break down a low block without becoming impatient, because the first goal will likely force Paul Put’s side to open up more than they want.

European Odds lean strongly to the home side: Tunisia are around 1.55, the draw is near 3.80, and Uganda are about 6.50, with Under 2.5 goals priced near 1.78 and both teams to score “No” close to 1.86. Tunisia have the deeper 2026/2027 squad, more midfield control and the recent head-to-head edge, but their summer scoring issues mean this should be tight rather than fluent. Our prediction is Tunisia 1-0 Uga