Cerro Porteno vs 2 de Mayo Prediction & Betting Tips (6 October)

Cerro Porteño welcome 2 de Mayo to the Estadio ueno La Nueva Olla on Monday, 5 October 2026, for a Copa de Primera Torneo Clausura Round 13 clash with plenty at stake on both sides. Cerro Porteño, the 2025 Clausura defending champions, have had a turbulent 2026 campaign and sit eighth in the Clausura table with 17 points from 12 matches, having changed coaches again in late August when Gustavo Costas replaced Ariel Holan on the bench. 2 de Mayo arrive in Asunción in far better shape — fourth in the Clausura standings with 22 points from 12 games — and are pushing hard to keep themselves in the conversation for international qualification under Eduardo Ledesma.

Recent form suggests this will be tighter than the teams' positions imply. Cerro Porteño come into the fixture on the back of a 2-1 defeat away to Sportivo Trinidense, one of several inconsistent results that cost Holan his job. 2 de Mayo, by contrast, have built their Clausura surge on defensive resilience, grinding out a 0-0 draw away to Libertad earlier in the season and holding Guaraní to a 0-0 stalemate. The head-to-head this year has been split: Cerro Porteño won the April Apertura meeting 3-0 at La Nueva Olla, but 2 de Mayo claimed revenge with a 2-1 home victory at the Estadio Monumental Río Parapití on 28 July, so neither side will lack belief.

For the 2026/2027 season, Cerro Porteño's expected spine features Manuel Roffo in goal, a back line of Blás Riveros, Gustavo Velázquez, Matías Pérez and Iván Ramírez, Robert Piris Da Motta anchoring midfield, and an attacking unit built around Cecilio Domínguez, Derlis Rodríguez, Ariel Gamarra and César Bobadilla behind leading marksman Pablo Vegetti, the Clausura's top scorer with six goals. 2 de Mayo are expected to line up in their familiar 5-4-1 shape with Nicolás Rossi in goal, Camilo Saiz, Pedro Sosa, César Ramírez, Alberto Espínola and César Castro across the back, Marcelo González, Óscar Romero — already on three Clausura goals — Marcos Gómez and Alan Gómez in midfield, with Matías Cáceres and Jorge Sanguina leading the line.

With home advantage, a superior squad on paper and the motivation to climb back toward the Sudamericana places under their new coach, Cerro Porteño are the clear favourites in the European odds market, priced at around 1.65 for the win, with the draw at roughly 3.60 and a 2 de Mayo away victory at about 5.50. However, 2 de Mayo's compact defensive block and counter-attacking threat mean this is unlikely to be a rout. Our prediction is a narrow Cerro Porteño win by 1-0, with Vegetti the most likely match-winner as the hosts look to close the gap on the Clausura's top f