Liverpool M. vs Juventud Prediction & Betting Tips (11 November)

Liverpool Montevideo and Juventud de Las Piedras meet for the second time in ten days on Tuesday 10 November 2026, when the Estadio Alfredo Víctor Viera hosts their Copa AUF Uruguay 2026 quarter-final (21:00 UYT). The tie carries extra spice because it is an immediate rematch of Clausura Matchday 13, which Liverpool won 2-0 at Belvedere to climb to 30 points from 13 games (9 wins, 3 draws, 1 defeat) and reclaim sole leadership of the championship. Jorge Fossati's side arrives in outstanding league form, having also beaten Peñarol 1-0 and Nacional 1-0 away in the previous two rounds, while Juventud sits eighth on 18 points. Liverpool's route to the last eight was workmanlike: a 3-0 group-stage win over Colón sealed qualification before Joaquín Pintos and Vicenzo Macchia sank Gladiador 2-0 in the round of 16. Juventud's cup campaign has been the definition of cup football — they finished second in Group 4, edged Plaza Colonia 1-0 away and then stunned Nacional 2-0 at the Gran Parque Central in the round of 16 through goals from Emanuel Cecchini and Martín Boselli, proving Sergio Blanco's veterans know how to spoil a Montevideo party. European odds price Liverpool at 2.31, the draw at 3.18 and Juventud at 2.69, with Over 2.5 goals at 1.95.

Liverpool's 2026/2027 squad blends Fossati's experience with a productive attacking core: Martín Campaña and Mathías Bernatene in goal; a back line of Facundo Perdomo, Enzo Castillo, Santiago Strasorier, Santiago Laquidaín, Agustín Cayetano, Diego Romero and Kevin Lewis; a midfield led by captain Martín Rabuñal with Nicolás Garayalde, Santiago Milano, Lucas Acosta, Matías Mir, Ezequiel Olivera and Gonzalo de Mello; and a forward unit featuring Federico Martínez (12 league goals, the team's top scorer), Rubén Bentancourt, Renzo Machado, Diego Zabala, Ramiro Degregorio and Facundo Barceló, with youngsters such as Joaquín Pintos and Macchia pushing from the cup side. The negriazul did show cracks in the earlier part of the year — a goalless home stalemate with Cerro Largo 0-0 in the Intermedio and a shock home Copa defeat by Albion — but the current winning run has erased those memories. Juventud's season squad is built around 40-year-old captain Sebastián Sosa in goal and veteran legs such as Martín Cáceres (39), Emmanuel Mas (37) and Gastón Pereiro, with Patricio Pernicone, Renzo Rabino, Leonel Roldán, Alejo Cruz, Fernando Mimbacas, Bruno Larregui, Ramiro Peralta, Agustín Alaniz and Boselli supplying the cup heroics.

Juventud's path to Belvedere tells its own story of resilience. Blanco's men were beaten by Nacional in the Intermedio — the tricolors took that meeting 2-1 — and could not break down Deportivo Maldonado in a 0-0 Intermedio draw, yet they learned to win tight away games, including the Intermedio opener at Albion settled 0-1 by Agustín Alaniz six minutes from time. The overall head-to-head across 13 meetings is tighter than Liverpool's league position suggests — three Liverpool wins, four Juventud wins and four draws, with Juventud winning both 2025 league meetings 1-0 — although the 1-1 draw in April 2026 and the 2-0 Liverpool win on 1 November 2026 swing recent momentum firmly Fossati's way. In knockout football, however, Juventud's compact 3-5-2 and its knack for late winners (both cup ties were decided by second-half goals) make them dangerous even as nominal underdogs, and Liverpool will need far more patience than they showed when Albion punished them in January.

Our prediction is a Liverpool Montevideo win by 2-1. The market agrees the home side deserves favouritism at 2.31, but Juventud's cup pedigree — two clean-sheet away wins in this tournament alone — makes the 2.69 on the visitors shorter than a typical eighth-versus-first pairing. We expect Liverpool's superior individual quality and current league form to tell, particularly through Federico Martínez's movement and Rabuñal's control, but Juventud has scored in big away games all season and a consolation is very live; the 1.95 on Over 2.5 goals is the supporting value angle, while the 3.18 draw is the main danger if Liverpool's finishing mirrors the sterile 0-0 it produced against Cerro Largo earlier this year. Fossati's men have won every key home tie of 2026 and should edge a quarter-final that promises far more tension than the league table implies — a narrow 2-1 home victory, with Liverpool booking a Copa AUF Uruguay semi-final at Belved