Predictions for the Most Exciting Matchups and Upsets in Men's Basketball Olympics 2024

The heat is on for the 2024 Basketball Olympics in Paris! The men's tournament kicks off on July 27th, with 12 teams vying for gold. Team USA, led by a young and hungry squad, will face stiff competition from the likes of Germany, the reigning champions, and Canada, boasting a bronze medal from the 2023 World Cup. Get ready for high-flying dunks, buzzer-beaters, and international bragging rights as the world's best ballers battle it out on the world's biggest stage.


The 2024 Men's Basketball event at the Paris Olympics is set to be a spectacular showcase of talent and competition. The tournament will occur from July 27 to August 10, with preliminary rounds at the Pierre Mauroy Stadium in Lille and the knockout stages at the Bercy Arena in Paris.

Historically, the United States has dominated Olympic basketball, winning 16 gold medals since the sport was introduced at the 1936 Berlin Games. The U.S. team has claimed the top spot in seven of the last eight Olympics, including the most recent games in Tokyo 2020. This year's tournament will see strong contenders from around the globe, making for some exciting matchups and potential upsets.

Key Matchups to Watch


USA vs. Serbia

Team USA, the heavy favorites with odds of -500, will take on Serbia, who stand at +750, in one of the most anticipated matchups of the 2024 Olympics. The game is scheduled for July 28 at the Pierre Mauroy Stadium in Lille.

Historically, the USA has dominated this rivalry, including a decisive victory in the gold medal game at the 2016 Rio Olympics. However, Serbia, led by NBA MVP Nikola Jokić, brings a disciplined and strategic approach that could challenge the depth of the American roster.

USA's lineup, filled with NBA stars, is known for its offensive firepower and athleticism. In contrast, Serbia's game relies on cohesive team play and Jokić's unique ability to facilitate from the center position. The clash promises to be a showdown between the USA's explosive offense and Serbia's strategic discipline, making it a must-watch for basketball fans.

France vs. Germany

France, hosting the Olympics, will face Germany in a critical Group B matchup. Scheduled for July 29, this game will take place at the Accor Arena in Paris. France will aim to capitalize on its home-court advantage, bolstered by the defensive prowess of Rudy Gobert. Germany, on the other hand, will rely on the emerging talent of Franz Wagner.

Both teams have shown mixed form recently; France had a disappointing World Cup, while Germany claimed the 2023 FIBA World Cup title.

Canada vs. Australia

Canada's rise as a basketball powerhouse will be tested against Australia's experienced squad on July 30 at the Accor Arena. Canada has been in excellent form, featuring NBA stars like Jamal Murray and Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, and has finished strong in recent international competitions.

Despite their veteran lineup, Australia faces challenges, including questions about their ability to contend with the younger, faster Canadian team. The head-to-head record favors Australia, but Canada's current momentum makes this a potentially crucial game for both teams striving to advance from the group stage.

Betting on these games will draw huge numbers as they are expected to be closely fought. The best sportsbooks have released odds for the game, and fans can use them to know about the favorites and underdogs based on their recent form.

Potential Upsets

Australia Facing Early Exit


Australia is in a precarious position in Group A, alongside formidable teams such as Canada and potential qualifiers like Spain and Slovenia. Given the high level of competition, experts predict that Australia might struggle to advance.

Historically, Spain has had a strong record against Australia in major tournaments, and Slovenia, led by Luka Dončić, is a significant threat if they qualify. The Boomers must play exceptionally well to avoid an early exit, particularly since they have been drawn into what many are calling the Group of Death.

Australia's recent form has been mixed. Despite their bronze medal win at the Tokyo 2020 Olympics, their performance at the 2023 FIBA World Cup was underwhelming, finishing in 10th place. To navigate the group stage, they will rely heavily on veteran players like Patty Mills and Joe Ingles and rising stars such as Josh Giddey and Matisse Thybulle.

Latvia Making Waves

Latvia is emerging as a dark horse following a strong performance at the recent FIBA World Cup, where they finished fifth. This was Latvia's best-ever finish at a major international tournament, showcasing their ability to compete at the highest level. Their success in the qualifiers, where they defeated several higher-ranked teams, indicates they could make a surprising run deep into the tournament.

Latvia's key players include Kristaps Porziņģis and Dāvis Bertāns, who have both had impactful NBA seasons. If Latvia can carry its momentum into the Olympics, it is well-positioned to secure key victories in the group stage and potentially upset more established teams.

South Sudan's Rise

South Sudan is one of the most exciting newcomers on the international basketball stage. Their qualification for the Olympics marks a significant achievement for a nation that only became independent in 2011.

South Sudan finished 17th at the 2023 FIBA World Cup, the highest among African teams, and secured its spot at the Olympics.

Group Stage Drama

Group A: Battle Royale

Group A is arguably the toughest, featuring Canada, Australia, and Spain. Every game in this group is expected to be fiercely contested. Canada's rise and Spain's seasoned squad add layers of intrigue. This group could see significant upsets, with no clear favorites emerging easily.

Group C: USA’s Test

USA's path in Group C includes Serbia, South Sudan, and Puerto Rico. While the USA is expected to dominate, Serbia poses a real threat. Although underdogs, South Sudan and Puerto Rico could capitalize on any slip-ups. The dynamics in this group will be interesting, especially as the tournament progresses.


The 2024 Men's Basketball Olympics in Paris promises high-stakes drama, intense matchups, and potential upsets.

With teams like USA and Serbia aiming for gold and underdogs like Latvia and South Sudan looking to surprise, the tournament is set for exciting basketball action. Fans worldwide will be eagerly watching as these teams battle for Olympic glory.

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