Tips For Betting On The Premier League

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The English Premier League 2020/21 was one of the strangest seasons. The absence of supporters in the stadium, coupled with a packed schedule, made many unexpected things happen. These strange seasons made many people afraid to bet because of the unpredictability. Now that the pandemic threat is lower, many betting companies begin to advertise the EPL to be the top football bet. Regardless of the situation, one thing that you must remember is to always do your homework and search for the most trusted online bookmakers. Good betting companies will help you with a fair and transparent process, useful tips and suggestions as well as references and other information to help you make a decision on what team to bet. Given the current situation in England which is relatively more stable, and the Covid-19 restrictions have been lifted, the Premier League is likely to return to normal. For the 2021/22, it will be a tough and fun season. Many surprises happen in the transfer market, like the comeback of Cristiano Ronaldo to Manchester United. If you want to bet in this season's EPL, there are some things that you should consider.

Last Season’s History

Even Though a team’s power is strong on paper, we should take a look at their performance last season. Last season, after eight games in the league, Manchester City still sit 13th, and Manchester United 11th. Both are each with a goal difference of -1. But they then bounced back to finish as champions, and runners-up.

While for the 2019/20 champions, Liverpool's efforts to defend the title were hampered by a storm of injuries, especially the injury of the star player, Virgil van Dijk. While Chelsea, who later won the Champions League, had to change their coach first to get into the Champions zone.For example, from the history of last season, it seems that Liverpool is not in good form, so you should consider not putting your money too much on Liverpool. While Chelsea on the other hand, is in good confidence after winning the UEFA Champions League, so Chelsea is a good club to bet on.

See Expert’s Prediction

As professional football pundits are more understanding about this, we should take into account their prediction. Especially with the surprising culture of EPL. With a normal situation like this, many observers, betting exchanges, and even supercomputers predict Manchester City will defend the title. Pep Guardiola's men closed last season on a high note, after a strange start. The Citizens picked up 74 points from their next 30 games to become the only team to average more than the expected 2.0 points (xP) per game. In total, they pack an average of 2.17 points.

The presence of Jack Grealish, and maybe later Harry Kane, will therefore be very helpful for City to sharpen the front line. And that means, The Citizen is increasingly difficult to stem. Many experts calculate City has a 56.9% chance of retaining the title.

Experts have put Liverpool in second place as champion candidates with a value of 17.4%, slightly ahead of Chelsea (16.7%), or only 0.7% difference. Manchester United in fourth place as champion candidates with a value of 8.2 percent.

Use xG (Expected Goals) as Indicator

xP, xGA, xGF is a calculation of a team’s performance. It can count the prediction on how many goals are scored, and conceded. For example, Manchester City packed 0.76 chances of conceding (xGA) per game, which made the opposing teams only have few chances to score. That solid defense helped a lot, as City on the other hand averaged only 2.02 goal chances (xGF) - their lowest season average since Guardiola arrived at the Etihad in the summer of 2016. They have scored just 83 goals, after averaging scored 101 goals in the last three seasons.

On another team like Chelsea, after being appointed to replace Frank Lampard on 26 January, Tuchel made 19 appearances, and during that period earned an expected 2.10 points (xP) per game, which is the highest figure in the Premier League. The impressive stats don't stop there. The Blues are the best defensive team in the league after Tuchel took over, allowing just 0.68 xGA per game. If they repeat that figure for a full season, the Blues will be the team with the best defense.

See The Team’s Transfer Activity

Liverpool last season finally survived into the Champions League zone, after sweeping eight of the last ten matches. This season, they will be dangerous again once van Dijk returns to the heart of defence, alongside Joe Gomez, or new defender Ibrahima Konate. For Manchester United, they have brought in Raphael Varane, Jordan Sancho and Cristiano Ronaldo, to be the team with the best signings this season.

The presence of Varane, who will be Harry Maguire's partner, is expected to have a positive impact on United's defense. Ole Gunnar Solskjaer's squad is considered to have great talent, but overall it is still far from Manchester City, also still unable to compete with Liverpool and Chelsea. In conclusion, these 4 factors are important to put into account when you want to bet on this season's EPL. Do remember that EPL is one of the most surprising leagues in the world,c so be careful and make the best choice.