Alaves vs Girona Prediction & Betting Tips (23 February)

Alavés welcome Girona to Mendizorroza in a matchup that quietly carries weight for both ends of the LaLiga table. Luis García Plaza’s side have turned the stadium into a stubborn fortress again, leaning on compact lines and quick breaks rather than expansive football. Over the past two months they have edged away from the relegation conversation and moved into the cluster of mid‑table sides who can trouble anyone on their day. With the Basques still relying heavily on the creativity and end product of Carlos Vicente, who leads their league scoring, this feels like another night where efficiency in both boxes will define the story.

Recent form underlines that sense of pragmatism. Alavés ground out a 1‑1 draw away at Sevilla on 14 February, showing resilience after falling behind and again highlighting their comfort in low‑tempo games. Earlier this month they also hosted Getafe and Real Sociedad in Mendizorroza, fixtures that reinforced how narrow most of their contests have been, as reflected in our previews of those clashes at /predictions/2026-02-08/Alaves-vs-Getafe-prediction and /predictions/2026-02-04/Alaves-vs-Real-Sociedad-prediction. Across the last couple of months, Alavés have rarely been blown away, but they have also struggled to turn control into multi‑goal wins.

Girona arrive with a different kind of pressure, still chasing European ambitions after another eye‑catching campaign. Even if their early‑season title chatter has cooled, the Catalan side remain one of the league’s most structured possession teams, with Viktor Tsygankov continuing as their leading scorer. In the last two months they have mixed results: a goalless draw away to Sevilla on 8 February, a high‑profile home date with Barcelona on 16 February, and a tricky trip to Oviedo at the end of January, all of which are reflected in our match guides at /predictions/2026-02-16/Girona-vs-Barcelona-prediction and /predictions/2026-01-31/Oviedo-vs-Girona-prediction. The pattern is clear: Girona dominate territory, but margins stay thin.

Put together, those trends point toward another tight, low‑scoring encounter in Vitoria‑Gasteiz, where the first goal—if it comes at all—could be decisive. Both sides have identical league goal tallies in recent analysis, and both have leaned on defensive structure more than attacking chaos over the past two months. With Alavés drawing at Sevilla and Girona shutting out Sevilla in their own recent visit, the defensive confidence on show should not be underestimated. Our preview of Alavés’ trip to Andalusia at /predictions/2026-02-14/Sevilla-vs-Alaves-prediction and Girona’s stalemate at /predictions/2026-02-07/Sevilla-vs-Girona-prediction feeds into a cautious outlook here, and we ultimately lean toward a cagey Girona edge with a correct score of 0-1<