Castellon vs Ceuta Prediction & Betting Tips (4 October)

Castellón vs Ceuta: LaLiga2 2026/27 — Match Preview & Prediction. League leaders CD Castellón host AD Ceuta FC at the Estadio SkyFi Castalia on Sunday, October 4, 2026 (16:30 UTC), with Pablo Hernández's side in breathtaking form. Castellón top the table after seven rounds with 19 points from a possible 21 (6 wins, 1 draw), scoring 14 goals while conceding just twice, while Ceuta sit 21st and are already fighting for survival. The hosts are coming off a commanding 2–0 away win at Leganés, having also edged Girona 2–1 and eased past Albacete 2–0 in their previous home outing.

Team news and squads for the 2026/27 season will shape this fixture. Castellón will be without several regulars: Matías Orozco, Amir Saipi and Rodrigo Rêgo are all away on international duty, Jérémy Mellot is suspended, and Fabrizio Brignani is injured. Hernández can still count on goalkeeper Romain Matthys — the leader in the Zamora Trophy race with a 0.33 goals-against average — captain Alberto Jiménez, and Ousmane Camara, who has 4 goals and is tied among the division's top scorers. Ceuta, coached by José Juan Romero, rely on captain Albert Caparrós at the back, midfielder Kuki Zalazar, and Carlos Hernández (3 goals); however, Edgar Sevikyan is also on international duty and Kenneth Obinna Mamah is injured. Omar Sadik and loanee Jordi Escobar carry Ceuta's hopes up front after their 3–1 home victory over Real Sociedad B.

Historically this has been a tight matchup — Castellón have won just once in the last four meetings, with three draws, including a 1–1 stalemate at the Alfonso Murube last May. But the current form gap is enormous: Castellón have won four straight and average over two goals per game at home, while Ceuta have struggled badly on their travels and have leaked goals all season. Bookmakers agree, pricing a home win at around 1.50 in European odds, the draw at 4.50, and a Ceuta surprise as high as 7.00 — a clear reflection of Castellón's promotion push against a side battling at the bottom.

Prediction: Castellon 3 : 1 Ceuta. Even with a weakened squad due to international call-ups, Castellón's firepower, Matthys' impeccable goalkeeping, and the fortress-like atmosphere of the Castalia should prove far too much for a Ceuta side that has conceded heavily on the road. Expect Camara and company to break down Ceuta's defence repeatedly, with a late consolation goal for the visitors making the scoreline respectable. Our correct-score tip is 3–1 at attractive European odds, making this one of the most confident home predictions of the LaLiga2 round 8 week