Netherlands vs Serbia Prediction & Betting Tips (4 October)

Netherlands vs Serbia is set to take center stage in the UEFA Nations League on Sunday, 4 October 2026, with kick-off at 20:45 CET at Philips Stadion in Eindhoven. This Group A2 clash is a quick rematch of the encounter in Belgrade just one week earlier, where the Dutch claimed a hard-fought away victory under new head coach Xavi Hernández. The Oranje will be looking to complete the double over the Serbs on home soil, while Veljko Paunović's side travels to the Netherlands desperate for points after a difficult start to the 2026/27 campaign.

The form guide heading into this fixture tells two very different stories. The Netherlands have settled nicely into the Xavi era, following up their 1-1 home draw against Germany with back-to-back strong performances. After winning 1-2 in Belgrade thanks to a Mexx Meerdink brace, the Dutch showed real character to rescue a 2-2 draw in Thessaloniki, fighting back from two goals down with Tijjani Reijnders striking late. Serbia, by contrast, arrive in Eindhoven on the back of a sobering 2-0 defeat in Germany, which followed their painful 2-1 home loss to Greece in the group opener.

For the 2026/27 season, Xavi has assembled a refreshed Dutch squad blending experience with youth. Bart Verbruggen guards the goal behind a defensive unit led by captain Virgil van Dijk, Denzel Dumfries, Micky van de Ven and Jurriën Timber, with Ryan Gravenberch, Tijjani Reijnders and Joey Veerman pulling the strings in midfield. The Dutch camp remains without several attacking options through injury, including Cody Gakpo, Donyell Malen, Brian Brobbey, Jan Paul van Hecke and Justin Kluivert, which keeps the door open for in-form striker Mexx Meerdink and Manchester United's Joshua Zirkzee. Serbia will again lean on the experience of Luka Jović and Dušan Tadić up front with Dušan Vlahović and Mihailo Ivanović sidelined, supported by Sergej Milinković-Savić, Saša Lukić and Andrija Živković, with Vanja Milinković-Savić between the posts.

With home advantage, superior squad depth and momentum firmly on their side, the Netherlands enter this contest as clear favorites in the European odds, priced at around 1.36 for the home win, with the draw at 4.80 and a Serbian victory at 8.50. Serbia's injury-hit attack has struggled for goals against top opposition, and conceding twice late against Greece before being shut out in Germany highlights their defensive fragility. Our prediction: Netherlands 3 : 0 Serbia — expect the Oranje to dominate possession, control the tempo from the first whistle and secure a comfortable victory in Eindho