Alaves vs Atl. Madrid Prediction & Betting Tips (10 October)

Deportivo Alavés host Atlético Madrid at the Estadio Mendizorroza on Saturday 10 October 2026 (14:15 UTC) in a LaLiga EA SPORTS Matchday 8 clash between two of the division's early-season overachievers. Alavés sit sixth after a promising start to the 2026/27 campaign, while Diego Simeone's Atlético arrive in second place, keeping pace with the leaders despite a mixed run before the international break. The last meeting between the sides came in January 2026, when Alexander Sørloth's strike sealed a 1-0 win for Atlético in Madrid, and the Rojiblancos lead the all-time head-to-head with 11 wins to Alavés' two.

Alavés' momentum stalled before the break: after an impressive 5-2 dismantling of Osasuna and a 1-0 win over Villarreal, the Basques ground out a goalless draw at San Mamés in their last outing, a 0-0 stalemate with Athletic Club, and slipped to a narrow home defeat against Valencia. Their 2026/27 squad under Chamon builds around Antonio Sivera in goal, a defence of Jonny Otto, Nahuel Tenaglia, Jon Pacheco and Víctor Parada, midfielders Pablo Ibáñez, Antonio Blanco, Carlos Vicente, Jon Guridi and Carles Aleñá, and forward Toni Martínez — though Ville Koski, Facundo Garcés and Mikel Rodríguez are all unavailable through injury.

Atlético, meanwhile, produced a statement derby win over Real Madrid (2-1) and thrashed Osasuna 4-0, but were beaten 3-0 at Athletic Club before the international break, exposing some defensive inconsistency. Simeone's 2026/27 squad features Jan Oblak; Marcos Llorente, Marc Pubill, David Hancko and Matteo Ruggeri; a midfield of Giuliano Simeone, Johnny Cardoso, Pablo Barrios and Thiago Almada; with Julián Álvarez leading the line in the absence of the injured Alexander Sørloth, while Alejandro Grimaldo also misses out. Atleti's extra firepower against an Alavés side missing several defenders tilts the scales.

In the European odds, Atlético Madrid are clear favourites at around 1.55 for the away win, the draw is priced near 4.00, and an Alavés home victory sits as high as 6.50 — numbers that reflect both the visitors' superior squad depth and their dominant head-to-head record. However, Atlético's defensive leaks and Alavés' organised low block at Mendizorroza should still produce goals at both ends. Our prediction: Alavés 1-3 Atlético Madrid, with Julián Álvarez and company ultimately proving too strong in Vitoria-Gast